Adina sets up a taste test of 333 different waters: tap, bottled in glass, and bottled in plastic. She puts these waters in identical cups and has a friend taste them one by one. The friend then tries to identify which water was in each cup. Assume that Adina's friend can't taste any difference and is randomly guessing. What is the probability that Adina's friend correctly identifies each of the 333 cups of water

Respuesta :

Using the binomial distribution, it is found that there is a 0.037 = 3.7% probability that Adina's friend correctly identifies each of the 3 cups of water.

For each water, there are only two possible outcomes, either it is correctly identified, or it is not. The probability of a water being correctly identified is independent of any other water, hence the binomial distribution is used to solve this question.

What is the binomial distribution formula?

The formula is:

[tex]P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]

[tex]C_{n,x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}[/tex]

The parameters are:

  • x is the number of successes.
  • n is the number of trials.
  • p is the probability of a success on a single trial.

In this problem:

  • The friend guesses among 3 types, hence [tex]p = \frac{1}{3} = 0.3333[/tex].
  • 3 cups will be identified, hence [tex]n = 3[/tex].

The probability that each of the 3 cups is correctly identified is P(X = 3), hence:

[tex]P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 3) = C_{3,3}.(0.3333)^{3}.(0.6667)^{0} = 0.037[/tex]

0.037 = 3.7% probability that Adina's friend correctly identifies each of the 3 cups of water.

You can learn more about the binomial distribution at https://brainly.com/question/24863377

Answer:

Step-by-step explanation:

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