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Two hundred thousand people enter a multistage lottery. The odds of winning in the first round are 1 in 50. For those
winning the first round, the odds of winning the second round are 2 in 100. How many people can be expected to win in the
second round?

Respuesta :

Using the binomial distribution, it is found that 3,845 people can be expected to win in the second round.

What is the binomial probability distribution?

  • It is the probability of exactly x successes on n repeated trials, with p probability of a success on each trial.
  • The expected value of the binomial distribution is:

[tex]E(X) = np[/tex]

In this problem, two hundred thousand people enter a multistage lottery, hence [tex]n = 200000[/tex].

The odds of winning in the first round are 1 in 50, hence for the first round [tex]p = \frac{1}{1 + 50} = \frac{1}{51}[/tex], and the number of people expected to win is:

[tex]E_1 = 200000\frac{1}{51} = 3922[/tex]

Hence, in the second round, the number of people contending to win will be:

[tex]n = 200000 - 3922 = 196078[/tex]

The odds of winning the second round are 2 in 100, hence:

[tex]p = \frac{2}{100 + 2} = \frac{2}{102} = \frac{1}{51}[/tex]

Then, the number of people expected to win is:

[tex]E_2 = 196078\frac{1}{51} = 3845[/tex]

3,845 people can be expected to win in the second round.

You can learn more about the binomial distribution at https://brainly.com/question/14424710

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