If you draw a card with a value of five or less from a standard deck of cards, I will pay you $7$ 7. If not, you pay me $7$ 7. (Aces are considered the highest card in the deck.) Step 2 of 2 : If you played this game 543543 times how much would you expect to win or lose? Round your answer to two decimal places. Losses must be expressed as negative values.

Respuesta :

Answer:

[tex]Amount = -\$1461.9[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

We have the following:

[tex]Total = 52[/tex] --- cards in a standard deck

Represent cards with a value of 5 or less with x

So:  [tex]x = \{2, 3, 4, 5\}[/tex] i.e 4 cards

However, each of these has a frequency of 4.

So: [tex]n(x) = 4\ cards* 4[/tex]

[tex]n(x) = 16[/tex]

The probability is:

[tex]p(x) = \frac{16}{52}[/tex]

The cost of this is:

[tex]C(x) = +\$7[/tex]

Represent cards with a value of above 5 with y

[tex]n(y) = 52 - 16[/tex]

[tex]n(y) = 36[/tex]

The probability is:

[tex]p(y) = \frac{36}{52}[/tex]

The cost of this is:

[tex]C(y) = -\$7[/tex] --- It is negative because you lost

In a game, your expected amount is:

[tex]E = n(x) * C(x) + n(y) * C(y)[/tex]

[tex]E = \frac{16}{52} * (+\$7) + \frac{36}{52} * (-\$7)[/tex]

[tex]E = \frac{16* \$7}{52} - \frac{36* \$7}{52}[/tex]

[tex]E = \frac{\$112}{52} - \frac{\$252}{52}[/tex]

[tex]E = \frac{\$112 - \$252}{52}[/tex]

[tex]E = -\frac{\$140}{52}[/tex]

When you play 543 times, the expected amount is:

[tex]Amount = E * 543[/tex]

[tex]Amount = -\frac{\$140}{52} *543[/tex]

[tex]Amount = -\frac{\$140 *543}{52}[/tex]

[tex]Amount = -\frac{\$76020}{52}[/tex]

[tex]Amount = -\$1461.9[/tex]

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