Answer:
a) [tex]P(D'/L)=0.03[/tex]
b) [tex]P(D/L')=0.7[/tex]
Step-by-step explanation:
From the question we are told that
Probability of discovered [tex]P(D)=0.88[/tex]
Probability of aircraft with locator [tex]P(L/D)=0.72[/tex]
Probability of lost aircraft without locator [tex]P(L'/D')=0.86[/tex]
Generally the probability that aircraft are not discovered is mathematically given as
[tex]P(D')=1-0.88[/tex]
[tex]P(D')=0.12[/tex]
Generally the probability that aircraft with locator are discovered is mathematically given as
[tex]P(L'/D)=1-0.72[/tex]
[tex]P(L'/D)=0.28[/tex]
Generally the Probability of lost aircraft without locator mathematically given as
[tex]P(L/D')=1-0.86[/tex]
[tex]P(L/D')=0.14[/tex]
Generally the Probability of having a locator mathematically given as
[tex]P(L)=P(L/D)*P(D)+P(L/D')*P(D')[/tex]
[tex]P(L)=0.72*0.88+0.14 *0.12[/tex]
[tex]P(L)=0.6504[/tex]
a)Generally the Probability of getting lost even with locator mathematically given as
[tex]P(D'/L)=\frac{P(L/D')(P(D')}{P(L)}[/tex]
[tex]P(D'/L)=\frac{0.14*0.12}{0.6504}[/tex]
[tex]P(D'/L)=0.0258302583[/tex]
[tex]P(D'/L)=0.03[/tex]
b)Generally the Probability of getting lost even with locator mathematically given as
[tex]P(D/L')=\frac{P(L'/D)(P(D)}{P(L')}[/tex]
[tex]P(D/L')=\frac{0.28*0.88}{1-0.6504}[/tex]
[tex]P(D/L')=0.704805492[/tex]
[tex]P(D/L')=0.7[/tex]
