Two construction contracts are to be randomly assigned to one or more of three firms: I, II, and III. Any firm may receive both contracts. Each contract will yield a profit of $90,000. Assume that firms I and II are actually owned by the same individual. Find the probability distribution of X, the owner's total profit.

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Answer:

The owner's total profit is $120,000.

Step-by-step explanation:

Assume that:

X = contract is assigned to firm 1

X = contract is assigned to firm 2

The sample space for assigning the two contracts is:

S = {(I, I), (I, II), (I, III), (II, I), (II, II), (II, III), (III, I), (III, II) and (III, III)}

There are total of 9 possible combinations.

So, the probability of selecting any of the combination is, 1/9.

Compute the probability distribution of X₁ and X as follows:

X₁      P (X₁)                      X₂        P (X₂)

0        4/9                        0           4/9

1         4/9                        1            4/9

2         1/9                        2           1/9

Compute the expected values of X₁ and X as follows:

[tex]E(X_{1})=\sum X_{1}\cdot P(X_{1})\\\\=(0\times\frac{4}{9})+(1\times\frac{4}{9})+(2\times\frac{1}{9})\\\\=\frac{6}{9}\\\\=\frac{2}{3}[/tex]               [tex]E(X_{2})=\sum X_{2}\cdot P(X_{2})\\\\=(0\times\frac{4}{9})+(1\times\frac{4}{9})+(2\times\frac{1}{9})\\\\=\frac{6}{9}\\\\=\frac{2}{3}[/tex]

It is provided that each contract will yield a profit of $90,000.

Compute the owner's total profit as follows:

[tex]\text{Total Profit}=\text{Profit}\times [E(X_{1})+E(X_{2})][/tex]

                   [tex]=90000\times[\frac{2}{3}+\frac{2}{3}]\\\\=120000[/tex]

Thus, the owner's total profit is $120,000.

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