1. You work with traffic engineers for DOT (the department of transportation) and is in charge of performing measurements and analyzing speeding on a busy road. After measuring the speeds and collected a very large data sample, the speed on that road was found to have a Gaussian distribution with an average of 67 mph and standard deviation of 4 mph. If the highway patrol plans to ticket anyone driving faster than 72 mph, what is the % of drivers that will exceed this limit?

Respuesta :

Answer:

The % of drivers that will exceed this limit is 10.56 %

Step-by-step explanation:

Let's start defining the random variable :

[tex]X[/tex] : '' The speed on that road ''

We know that [tex]X[/tex] can be modeled with a Gaussian distribution ⇒

[tex]X[/tex] ~ [tex]N[/tex] ( μ , σ )

Where ''μ'' is the mean and ''σ'' is the standard deviation. Given that the average speed and the standard deviation of the problem are known we write :  

[tex]X[/tex] ~ [tex]N(67,4)[/tex]

We are asked about [tex]P(X>72)[/tex] (which is the % of drivers that will exceed this limit).

To find this probability we are going to make a standardization of the variable [tex]X[/tex] (also called a change of variables).

We are going to substract the mean to [tex]X[/tex] and then divide by its standard deviation :

[tex]P(X>72)=[/tex] P [(X-μ) / σ > (72 - μ) / σ] (I)

The new variable [(X - μ) / σ] is called Z.

Z can be modeled as

[tex]Z[/tex] ~ [tex]N(0,1)[/tex]

⇒ Replacing in (I) the values of the mean and the standard deviation :

[tex]P(Z>\frac{72-67}{4})[/tex] = [tex]P(Z>1.25)=1-P(Z\leq 1.25)[/tex]

The convenience of this is that we can find the probabilities of Z (which is a N(0,1) ) in any table on internet ⇒

Looking at any table we will find that [tex]P(Z\leq 1.25)=0.8944[/tex] ⇒

[tex]P(X>72)=P(Z>1.25)=1-P(Z\leq 1.25)=1-0.8944=0.1056[/tex] = 10.56 %

We find that the % of drivers that will exceed this limits is 10.56 %

ACCESS MORE
ACCESS MORE
ACCESS MORE
ACCESS MORE