Consider the following probabilities: P(Ac) = 0.30, P(B) = 0.60, and P(A ∩ Bc) = 0.24. a. Find P(A | Bc). (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.) P(A | Bc) b. Find P(Bc | A). (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 3 decimal places.) P(Bc | A) c. Are A and B independent events?

Respuesta :

[tex]P(A^c)=0.3\implies P(A)=0.7[/tex]

[tex]P(B)=0.6\implies P(B^c)=0.4[/tex]

(a) By definition of conditional probability,

[tex]P(A\mid B^c)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B^c)}{P(B^c)}=\dfrac{0.24}{0.4}=0.6[/tex]

(b) Similarly,

[tex]P(B^c\mid A)=\dfrac{P(A\cap B^c)}{P(A)}=\dfrac{0.24}{0.7}\approx0.343[/tex]

(c) By the law of total probability,

[tex]P(A)=P(A\cap B)+P(A\cap B^c)[/tex]

[tex]P(A)=P(A\cap B)+P(A\mid B^c)P(B^c)[/tex]

[tex]0.7=P(A\cap B)+0.6\cdot0.4[/tex]

[tex]\implies P(A\cap B)=0.46[/tex]

Meanwhile, [tex]P(A)P(B)=0.7\cdot0.6=0.42[/tex], so no, they are not independent.

The value of [tex]P(A \cap B)[/tex] is 0.42 in both cases, therefore, the two events are not independent events.

What is Probability?

The probability helps us to know the chances of an event occurring.

[tex]\rm{Probability=\dfrac{Desired\ Outcomes}{Total\ Number\ of\ outcomes\ possible}[/tex]

A.) We know that according to the conditional probability we can write, [tex]P(A|B_c)[/tex] as,

[tex]P(A|B_c) = \dfrac{P(A\cap B_c)}{P(B_c)}\\\\P(A|B_c) = \dfrac{P(A\cap B_c)}{1-P(B)}[/tex]

Also, the values of P(Ac), P(B), and P(A∩Bc) are known, therefore,

[tex]P(A|B_c) = \dfrac{0.24}{1-0.60} = 0.6[/tex]

B.) We know that according to the conditional probability we can write, [tex]P(B_c|A)[/tex] as,

[tex]P(B_c|A) = \dfrac{P(B_c\cap A)}{P(A)}\\\\P(B_c|A)\ P(A) = P(B_c)P(A|B_c)[/tex]

Also, the values of P(A), P(Bc), and P(A| Bc) are known, therefore,

[tex]P(B_c|A)\ (1-P(A_c)) = P(B_c)P(A|B_c)\\\\P(B_c|A)\ (1-0.30) = 0.40 \times 0.6\\\\P(B_c|A) = \dfrac{0.40 \times 0.6}{0.70}\\\\P(B_c|A) = 0.3428[/tex]

C.)  We know that according to the law of probability the P(A) can be written as,

[tex]P(A) = P(A \cap B) + P(A \cap B_c)\\\\P(A) = P(A \cap B) + P(A|B_c)\cdot P(B_c)\\\\0.7 = P(A \cap B) + (0.6 \cdot 0.4)\\\\ P(A \cap B) = 0.46[/tex]

Also, the value of [tex]P(A \cap B)[/tex] can be written as,

[tex]P(A \cap B) = P(A)\cdot P(B) = 0.6 \times 0.7 = 0.42[/tex]

As we can see that the value of [tex]P(A \cap B)[/tex] is 0.42 in both cases, therefore, the two events are not independent events.

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