A study of the US clinical population found that 24.1% are diagnosed with a mental disorder, 14.9% are diagnosed with an alcohol-related disorder, and 5% are diagnosed with both disorders.

(a) What is the probability that someone from the clinical population is diagnosed with a mental disorder, knowing that the person is diagnosed with an alcohol-related disorder? Please use 3 decimal places.

(b) What is the probability that someone from the clinical population is diagnosed with an alcohol-related disorder, knowing that the person is diagnosed with a mental disorder? Please use 3 decimal places.

Respuesta :

Answer:

a) 0.336

b) 0.207

Step-by-step explanation:

A probability is the number of desired outcomes divided by the number of total outcomes.

We solve this problem building the Venn's diagram of these probabilities.

I am going to say that:

A is the probability that a person from the clinical population is diagnosed with mental disorder.

B is the probability that a person from the clinical population is diagnosed with alcohol related disorder.

We have that:

[tex]A = a + (A \cap B)[/tex]

In which a is the probability that a person is diagnosed with mental disorder but not alcohol related disorder and [tex]A \cap B[/tex] is the probability that a person is diagnosed with both of these disorders.

By the same logic, we have that:

[tex]B = b + (A \cap B)[/tex]

We find the values of a,b and the intersection, starting from the intersection.

5% are diagnosed with both disorders.

This means that [tex]A \cap B = 0.05[/tex]

14.9% are diagnosed with an alcohol-related disorder

This means that [tex]B = 0.149[/tex]

So

[tex]B = b + (A \cap B)[/tex]

[tex]0.149 = b + 0.05[/tex]

[tex]b = 0.099[/tex]

24.1% are diagnosed with a mental disorder

This means that [tex]A = 0.241[/tex]

So

[tex]A = a + (A \cap B)[/tex]

[tex]0.241 = a + 0.05[/tex]

[tex]a = 0.203[/tex]

(a) What is the probability that someone from the clinical population is diagnosed with a mental disorder, knowing that the person is diagnosed with an alcohol-related disorder?

Desired outcomes:

Mental and alcohol-related disorders, which [tex]A \cap B[/tex]. So [tex]D = 0.05[/tex]

Total outcomes:

Alcohol-related disorder, which is B. So [tex]T = 0.149[/tex]

Probability:

[tex]P = \frac{0.05}{0.149} = 0.336[/tex]

(b) What is the probability that someone from the clinical population is diagnosed with an alcohol-related disorder, knowing that the person is diagnosed with a mental disorder?

Desired outcomes:

Mental and alcohol-related disorders, which [tex]A \cap B[/tex]. So [tex]D = 0.05[/tex]

Total outcomes:

Mental disorder, which is B. So [tex]T = 0.241[/tex]

Probability:

[tex]P = \frac{0.05}{0.241} = 0.207[/tex]

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